Kandal Forecast Models Compared – ECMWF, GFS, ICON, JMA
Four models compared
| ECMWF IFS | NOAA GFS | DWD ICON | JMA | Agreement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday 21/09 | 30° 12.4mm | 32° 12.8mm | 30° 13.2mm | 30° 7.6mm | 87% ±2.1° · 4/4 |
| Tuesday 22/09 | 31° 21.8mm | 31° 15.1mm | 30° 9.3mm | 30° 25.1mm | 91% ±1.4° · 4/4 |
| Wednesday 23/09 | 30° 3.6mm | 31° 17.7mm | 32° 7.5mm | 30° 25.2mm | 88% ±2° · 4/4 |
When the models disagree, confidence in that day is lower.
- ECMWF IFS — ECMWF (EU), 25 km
- NOAA GFS — NOAA (US), 13 km
- DWD ICON — Deutscher Wetterdienst, 11 km
- JMA — Japan Met. Agency, 5 km
Verified accuracy
| Lead time | Mean temperature error | Within 2°C | Rain call correct | Days verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 1.00 °C | 90% | 52% | 21 |
| 2d | 1.18 °C | 85% | 65% | 20 |
| 3d | 1.93 °C | 47% | 74% | 19 |
Every day the system stores the forecast it issued, then checks it against observed data. These numbers are the result of that check, not a marketing claim.
2026-08-13 → 2026-09-02 · n=60
Common questions
Will it rain in Kandal today?
Yes. Rain is expected around 00:00–21:00, totalling roughly 15.4 mm.
How hot is it in Kandal today?
Between 25°C and 31°C, with a felt maximum of 38°C.
What is the weather in Kandal tomorrow?
Tomorrow: thunderstorm, 24–30°C, with a 100% chance of rain.