Kratie Forecast Models Compared – ECMWF, GFS, ICON, JMA
Four models compared
| ECMWF IFS | NOAA GFS | DWD ICON | JMA | Agreement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday 21/09 | 28° 11.3mm | 31° 33.4mm | 30° 5.7mm | 30° 4.1mm | 82% ±2.9° · 4/4 |
| Tuesday 22/09 | 31° 8.7mm | 30° 11.3mm | 32° 15.9mm | 29° 21.1mm | 81% ±3° · 4/4 |
| Wednesday 23/09 | 30° 2.1mm | 30° 23.1mm | 32° 9.9mm | 30° 15.9mm | 86% ±2.2° · 4/4 |
When the models disagree, confidence in that day is lower.
- ECMWF IFS — ECMWF (EU), 25 km
- NOAA GFS — NOAA (US), 13 km
- DWD ICON — Deutscher Wetterdienst, 11 km
- JMA — Japan Met. Agency, 5 km
Verified accuracy
| Lead time | Mean temperature error | Within 2°C | Rain call correct | Days verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 0.93 °C | 88% | 76% | 17 |
| 2d | 0.96 °C | 87% | 73% | 15 |
| 3d | 1.07 °C | 77% | 69% | 13 |
Every day the system stores the forecast it issued, then checks it against observed data. These numbers are the result of that check, not a marketing claim.
2026-08-13 → 2026-09-02 · n=45
Common questions
Will it rain in Kratie today?
Yes. Rain is expected around 00:00–00:00, totalling roughly 23.6 mm.
How hot is it in Kratie today?
Between 25°C and 30°C, with a felt maximum of 37°C.
What is the weather in Kratie tomorrow?
Tomorrow: thunderstorm, 25–30°C, with a 100% chance of rain.