Kratie Forecast Models Compared – ECMWF, GFS, ICON, JMA
Four models compared
| ECMWF IFS | NOAA GFS | DWD ICON | JMA | Agreement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thursday 05/11 | 33° 6.0mm | 32° 5.6mm | 34° 7.5mm | 32° 4.0mm | 88% ±2° · 4/4 |
| Friday 06/11 | 33° 0.5mm | 30° 0.3mm | 34° 0.5mm | 33° 0.7mm | 75% ±4° · 0/4 |
| Saturday 07/11 | 32° 0.7mm | 32° 2.4mm | 34° 0.1mm | 32° 1.1mm | 64% ±1.7° · 2/4 |
| Sunday 08/11 | 32° 1.2mm | 32° 2.8mm | 34° 0.0mm | 33° 0.1mm | 58% ±2.8° · 2/4 |
| Monday 09/11 | 32° 5.0mm | 31° 0.3mm | 36° 0.0mm | 32° 0.0mm | 62% ±4.1° · 1/4 |
| Tuesday 10/11 | 32° 5.2mm | 30° 2.4mm | 35° 0.0mm | 31° 0.0mm | 44% ±4.9° · 2/4 |
When the models disagree, confidence in that day is lower.
- ECMWF IFS — ECMWF (EU), 25 km
- NOAA GFS — NOAA (US), 13 km
- DWD ICON — Deutscher Wetterdienst, 11 km
- JMA — Japan Met. Agency, 5 km
Verified accuracy
| Lead time | Mean temperature error | Within 2°C | Rain call correct | Days verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 0.93 °C | 88% | 76% | 17 |
| 2d | 0.96 °C | 87% | 73% | 15 |
| 3d | 1.07 °C | 77% | 69% | 13 |
Every day the system stores the forecast it issued, then checks it against observed data. These numbers are the result of that check, not a marketing claim.
2026-08-13 → 2026-09-02 · n=45
Common questions
Will it rain in Kratie today?
Yes. Rain is expected around 16:00–22:00, totalling roughly 13.7 mm.
How hot is it in Kratie today?
Between 25°C and 33°C, with a felt maximum of 39°C.
What is the weather in Kratie tomorrow?
Tomorrow: drizzle, 25–32°C, with a 62% chance of rain.