Poipet Forecast Models Compared – ECMWF, GFS, ICON, JMA
Four models compared
| ECMWF IFS | NOAA GFS | DWD ICON | JMA | Agreement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thursday 05/11 | 31° 3.7mm | 31° 7.2mm | 34° 2.9mm | 30° 0.3mm | 64% ±3.8° · 3/4 |
| Friday 06/11 | 31° 0.9mm | 32° 0.2mm | 33° 3.2mm | 31° 6.1mm | 59% ±2.5° · 2/4 |
| Saturday 07/11 | 31° 8.7mm | 31° 15.1mm | 34° 0.6mm | 31° 1.5mm | 66% ±3.5° · 3/4 |
| Sunday 08/11 | 31° 6.5mm | 31° 12.4mm | 34° 0.3mm | 31° 0.2mm | 53% ±3.6° · 2/4 |
| Monday 09/11 | 31° 1.4mm | 30° 4.8mm | 34° 0.0mm | 31° 0.0mm | 48% ±4.3° · 2/4 |
| Tuesday 10/11 | 30° 0.6mm | 28° 0.0mm | 32° 0.3mm | 29° 0.2mm | 72% ±4.4° · 0/4 |
When the models disagree, confidence in that day is lower.
- ECMWF IFS — ECMWF (EU), 25 km
- NOAA GFS — NOAA (US), 13 km
- DWD ICON — Deutscher Wetterdienst, 11 km
- JMA — Japan Met. Agency, 5 km
Verified accuracy
| Lead time | Mean temperature error | Within 2°C | Rain call correct | Days verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 2.25 °C | 53% | 94% | 17 |
| 2d | 2.42 °C | 47% | 93% | 15 |
| 3d | 2.80 °C | 31% | 92% | 13 |
Every day the system stores the forecast it issued, then checks it against observed data. These numbers are the result of that check, not a marketing claim.
2026-08-13 → 2026-09-02 · n=45
Common questions
Will it rain in Poipet today?
Yes. Rain is expected around 10:00–20:00, totalling roughly 5.5 mm.
How hot is it in Poipet today?
Between 25°C and 31°C, with a felt maximum of 38°C.
What is the weather in Poipet tomorrow?
Tomorrow: thunderstorm, 24–30°C, with a 97% chance of rain.