Siem Reap Forecast Models Compared – ECMWF, GFS, ICON, JMA
Four models compared
| ECMWF IFS | NOAA GFS | DWD ICON | JMA | Agreement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday 21/09 | 31° 11.4mm | 31° 6.3mm | 31° 10.5mm | 30° 7.3mm | 93% ±1.2° · 4/4 |
| Tuesday 22/09 | 30° 4.9mm | 32° 4.9mm | 30° 22.5mm | 29° 21.2mm | 84% ±2.6° · 4/4 |
| Wednesday 23/09 | 31° 11.1mm | 32° 8.6mm | 33° 0.6mm | 29° 17.2mm | 66% ±3.5° · 3/4 |
When the models disagree, confidence in that day is lower.
- ECMWF IFS — ECMWF (EU), 25 km
- NOAA GFS — NOAA (US), 13 km
- DWD ICON — Deutscher Wetterdienst, 11 km
- JMA — Japan Met. Agency, 5 km
Verified accuracy
| Lead time | Mean temperature error | Within 2°C | Rain call correct | Days verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 0.89 °C | 90% | 90% | 21 |
| 2d | 1.04 °C | 95% | 85% | 20 |
| 3d | 1.67 °C | 68% | 74% | 19 |
Every day the system stores the forecast it issued, then checks it against observed data. These numbers are the result of that check, not a marketing claim.
2026-08-13 → 2026-09-02 · n=60
Common questions
Will it rain in Siem Reap today?
Yes. Rain is expected around 00:00–00:00, totalling roughly 24.9 mm.
How hot is it in Siem Reap today?
Between 25°C and 30°C, with a felt maximum of 37°C.
What is the weather in Siem Reap tomorrow?
Tomorrow: thunderstorm, 24–30°C, with a 96% chance of rain.